JP Morgan says iPhone 5 could bump U.S. GDP noticeably

Credit: flickr/Scott Swigart

Wall Street firm says Apple could sell 8 million iPhone 5 units before the end of the year, and boost U.S. GDP by as much as a half percent.

Michael Feroli, chief economist of JP Morgan, sent a note to clients on Monday that the expected sales price of the iPhone 5, $600, would mean as much as $3.2 billion in sales. This boost could offset the expected low Gross Domestic Product growth of 2.0 percent, reports Reuters.

Projections are always iffy, and The Register's “iPhone to account for half of US economy by 2030 – projection,” story extrapolates more for entertainment than education. But snarky as The Register is, the story is right when it says the iPhone market was zero percent of the economy in 2007, and while disappointing to some, the launch of the iPhone 4S doubled the iPhone market share in the U.S.

Hype squared

I think you are giving apple a little too much credit.

Reuters5555 on

It wasn't long ago the same was said of Nokia and Finland.

Anonymous Coward on

And this is why I don't have any money with jp morgan anymore.

Ristogod on

Sad if true

If this is true it is one of the saddest commentaries on the US economy I have ever read! How a “toy” can increase GDP by half a percent... Very sad, indeed.

upstater on

Seriously, though, economists are mad, and so is the notion of money in the modern world.

Mike Bell on

Unfortunately all of the money goes to executives and wallstreet, nothing goes to american workers.

Jeffk464 on


the $600 in revenues they collect comes from Wireless providers, who in turn charge customers monthly fees to recover that cost, it takes a year on average to recover that $600 from consumers i.e. Consumer Spending. And Consumer Spending is what goes into GDP, not what APPLE collects from providers.

student1 on

If its true then god help the US economy because most of the manufacture and production of the iPhone happens outside of the USA so while Apple employees might become filthy rich the majority of the US population will be out of work

Glostermeteor on

I'm always skeptical about these kinds of analyses, as there's always a substitutive effect. When you buy one thing, you tend not to buy another.

Mint on

Do you believe the iPhone 5 will have a noticeable positive impact on the U.S. economy? Will you buy the new iPhone?

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