Now is the Best Time to Start a Business

Be the first to comment | 1I like it!
May 18, 2009, 02:41 PM —  CIO — 

The U.S. economy has weathered 18 recessions spanning a total of 90 years since 1776, not including the current downturn. Each of those 18 prior recessions, some with descriptive names like "The Long Depression," which lasted a whopping 23 years from 1873 to 1896, had one thing in common.

[ More on CIO.com: Defying the Recession with Private Label Best Practices | Will Technology Fuel a Recession Comeback?  ]

They ended. And so will this one.

Thirty years ago, when I was a research analyst at McGraw-Hill, I analyzed the 1979 Fortune 500 list to determine what percentage of those companies had incorporated during a recession. It was about 40 percent.

I decided to repeat the analysis with the 2008 Fortune 500 list, and here is what I discovered:

Among the companies on the 2008 Fortune 500 list, 35 percent incorporated into business during a recession -- a number that is remarkably similar to my 1979 analysis.

So I decided to go further.

I put under my economic microscope only the top 100 companies on the list. I was curious to learn if more or fewer than 35 percent of these largest companies had incorporated during a period of economic contraction.

Are you ready? Forty-six percent of the Fortune 100 incorporated during a downturn.

It gets better: 52 percent of the Fortune 50, 64 percent of the Fortune 25 and seven of the Fortune 10 all opened their doors while economic pain was all around them.

So what does this analysis mean? I have reached two conclusions:

First, if you are pining to start a company that you believe can scale to be one of the world's most dominant firms, you shouldn't be afraid to start it in a recession.

Second, watch your back. That 35 percent of the nation's 500 largest public companies launched during a period like the one we're in is stark evidence that-the recession notwithstanding-competitors are starting up all around you.

If you would like a slide recapping the data, just send me an e-mail.

» posted by ITworld staff

CIO

Sign up for ITworld's Daily newsletter
Follow ITworld on Twitter @IT_world

I like it!
Close

On Twitter now

startup

Powered by Twitter
You are logged in | Sign out
Sign in and post to Twitter

What are you thinking?

Cancel Tweet sent

On Twitter now

Post a comment
The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
peer-to-peer

jfruh
Apple syncing patent can't come soon enough

pasmith
New Twitter features borrow from 3rd party clients

Esther Schindler
Open Source Changes the Software Acquisition Process

mikelgan
How to set up continuous podcast play on the new iTunes

David Strom
Five important Windows 7 mobility features

sjvn
Guard your Wi-Fi for your own sake                        

Sandra Henry-Stocker
Grepping on Whole Words

 

Sidekick: The Good News & the Bad News
Either way you look at it Microsoft Data Center management did not follow standards or best practices in this failure. In which case it makes me wonder more about the outsourcing of corporate data much less personal data.
- mburton325

Join the conversation here

The Daily Tip

The Daily TipQuick, practical advice for IT pros. Made fresh daily.

Hot tips:

Want to cash in on your IT savvy? Send your tip to tips@itworld.com. If we post it, we'll send you a $25 Amazon e-gift card.

Newsletters

Subscribe to ITWORLD TODAY and receive the latest IT news and analysis.

I would like to receive offers via email from ITworld partners.
By clicking submit you agree to the terms and conditions outlined in ITworld's privacy policy.
Featured Sponsor

AISO founders envisioned a Web hosting company that was environmentally friendly. While the company employed energy-efficient innovations like solar panels, its infrastructure produced unacceptable power and cooling requirements. Find out how AISO leveraged AMD technology to overcome their challenge in this case study white paper.

In this whitepaper, Scalar explores the opportunity to change the landscape with respect to mission critical databases built around Oracle. Leveraging technologies such as Linux, high-end commodity processing power and Oracle RAC technology to architect, design, build and maintain database infrastructure that delivers maximum availability, reliability and performance at a fraction of traditional cost.

On a typical day, weather.com, the Web site for The Weather Channel in Atlanta, serves up between 15 million and 20 million page views. But in September 2004, when back-to-back hurricanes ransacked Florida, the peak traffic on one day more than tripled: over 70 million page views by more than 7 million unique visitors. Read the full success story now.

Marketplace