December 28, 2011, 11:36 AM —
Paul Allen (the Google one, not the Microsoft one) predicts Google+ will have 400 million users by this time next year. Clever, crazy, or misreading the data?
Based on the current uptake of Google+ by about 625,000 users per day, over 100 million will be "Plussers" by February 25th, and 200 million by early August. The current growth level won't quite reach 300 million by the end of the year, however, but Allen expects the growth to accelerate.
Why? Neatly tying in with the other success story of the 700,000 Android phone activations happening every day. Google+ will somehow attract them because of Google's efforts to weave Plus into all Google products. That could be wishful thinking, but the expectation of 200 million users by August will leverage the "network effect" will pull in that many more users does make sense.
Good grief but it's about time the negative reviews stopped pouring in. Now perhaps everyone else will know what the rest of us have known from the beginning. It takes some people a long time to wake up!
Giselle Minoli on google.com
I loved the idea of circles, that is until I started to use them. The metaphor seemed nice at first, but it became frustrating after I moved past the first 20-30 contacts.
darklajid on news.ycombinator.com
Users are one thing, active users are another. How many posts are being made?