Why "Minority Report" crime prediction can not work, ever.
- Many human decisions are irrational;
- Many human behaviors are based on attitudes or decisions that are themselves very inconsistent;
- Many behaviors are not the result of a conscious decision, but unconscious behaviors and habits are often altered by an anomalous decision;
- The future is unknown, so the reaction of a specific person to new situations or willingness to carry through a long-held plan are both invalid as a basis on which to base a decision about that person's behavior;
- In order to gather enough information on every person in the country with the potential to commit a crime (every person in the country) would require closed-circuit video recordings of every person in the country seven days a week, 365 days per year;
- Just the number of cameras and amount of surveillance would be unconstitutionally invasive, let alone the collection of all that data and holding the analysis, decisions and reaction plans (punishments or rewards);
- Any reaction plan would be based on incomplete data, subjective analytical methods and a decision-making structure riddles with irrecoverable structural flaws that would prevent even the most earnest, honest investigator with information as near perfect as possible from reaching the right conclusion and deciding what to do about it.
You're right, that goes too far; just give me a list of everyone you've ever spoken to in your life and their phone numbers
Now, lest you think DHS is the only agency a little overexcited about the chance to surreptitiously observe people and ask irresponsible questions (at gunpoint) about their personal behavior, the Wall Street Journal unearthed an example of the Dept. of Justice sifting through the underwear drawer of a guy it is confident did nothing wrong but volunteer to help maintain the web site or databases of a site it didn't like.
Jacob Applebaum developed free web proxy/anonymity service The Tor Project, Inc., but also does volunteer work for WikiLeaks.
So, someone in DoJ figured, he must talk to a lot of people who would be terrorists because they'd want to talk to the guy who started a company to help Chinese dissidents watch YouTube without getting arrested.
So the DoJ got secret court orders designed to force Google, inc. and the ISP Sonic.net to hand over all the email addresses of people who had corresponded with Jacob Applebaum – who does volunteer work for WikiLeaks and